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“The
Credit Crunch” has been a phrase used on a daily
basis by newspapers in the last 12 months to September 2008. But
what is it and how does it /will it affect the property market-
home and abroad ???????? The bottom line is that lenders have been
very lax in the way they lend monies to their potential borrowers.
The problem is much worse in the U.S. than in the UK for example
but nevertheless; the criteria for borrowing has changed substantially
in the last 10-15 years which has meant that basically anyone can
get credit- no matter what their credit history is and earnings
seem to be an afterthought in that self certification seems to be
the norm or the default meaning that borrowers greatly exaggerate
their incomes to obtain for example the mortgage they require. The
UK worse case scenario generally seems to be a 10-15% deposit on
a proposed residential property with no income checks and a weak
credit history not stopping you from getting a competitive mortgage
rate but in the U.S. you have been able to obtain 120% mortgages
on a self cert basis with a low credit rating- which quite frankly
is ludicrous. The average mortgage in the UK for a first time buyer
in 1997 was 2.3 times income at a value of £41,800 but by
2007 that had grown to 3.36 times income on an average mortgage
of £116,820. Just when house prices reached their zenith,
the banks etc increased available loans to a staggering six times
income and now lenders are reaping what they sowed.
The UK housing market is more protected than the U.S. because of
our housing shortages and demand outstripping supply but the bad
debts of worldwide lending institutions because of their bad lending
decisions has meant that money for loans has now been restricted
meaning lenders now operate stricter controls and are much more
choosy who they lend to and their rates are not as competitive as
6 months ago.
The above means that house prices are dropping in the UK but this
will make Brits want to move out of the UK quicker than they are
now and spur people into action as they are seeing bad news in the
housing market, rising taxes, higher inflation, higher mortgage
costs and generally a lower standard of living.
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